NEW: Arizona Abortion Survey Results
Key highlights and topline report
The Tyson Group conducted a survey between 4/10/24 - 4/11/24 targeting a representative sample of n=600 likely voters for the upcoming Arizona general election. The margin of error for this study is +/- 4%. Participants were recruited and surveyed using an online panel to gather their responses. The survey was commissioned and paid for by BreakingBattlegrounds.vote.
If you have questions or would like a quote, contact Sam Stone: Sam@cairnconsulting.com
You may download the survey’s topline report below.
A few highlights:
54% of Arizonans believe current abortion laws are TOO STRICT in the state
The territorial ban falls well short of consensus (24% support / 62% oppose / -38% NET)
The return to 15 weeks posed by some republican legislators tests best (59% support / 24% oppose / +35% NET)
54% of the sample would be more likely to support a candidate that voted to repeal the 1864 ban and make it legal through 15 weeks again
The ballot-measure to go to roughly 24 weeks tests similarly but loses about -5% of support (54% support / 29% oppose / +25% NET)
56% of the sample agrees with Donald Trump’s statement regarding Arizona going too far and the Democrat governor bringing law back within reason.
The sample was largely split down the middle on determining when is a reasonable time to have an abortion (19% never / 16% 6 weeks / 22% 15 weeks / 17% 24 weeks / 11% up until birth)
Lastly, the supreme court’s recent ruling encourages more Arizonans to vote Democrat than Republican (D+3)
Chuck and Sam discuss this survey further and what it means for the future of Arizona on the recent episode of Breaking Battlegrounds at 51 minutes and 17 seconds.